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As such, the R-square from such a regression would be fairly close to one.[*] However, if smuggling is a prominent feature of the cigarette market, such a nave model will fail to explain a much larger percentage of the variation in per-adult sales, resulting in large residuals (in magnitude)

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Hernandez Cordero AI, Li X, Yang CX, Yang J, MacIsaac JL, Dever K, et al

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The results show that 65 percent of e-cigarette users had tried to quit smoking, versus 40 percent of people who smoked but didnt use e-cigs